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Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favorite tales on this weekly publication.
The author is a fellow on the Centre for European Reform and the creator of ‘French lessons for Britain’s economy’
If I moved out of town and into a much bigger, suburban home, would that make it extra seemingly I’d get a pay rise sooner or later? Clearly, the reply isn’t any. I’d have extra residing area and a much bigger backyard and if I valued these issues greater than bars and eating places on my doorstep, I’d be happier. However my employer just isn’t going to reward me for my transfer with a pay rise, as a result of it wouldn’t make me any extra expert or productive.
However listening to the talk within the UK, you’d be forgiven for pondering that planning reform will supercharge progress. This consensus has it backwards, nonetheless. We will afford higher homes when productiveness rises. Dismal productiveness progress because the monetary disaster has meant that wages have stagnated, so we now have not had the cash to make huge enhancements to housing. And the rationale productiveness has stagnated is that the personal sector has not been investing sufficient.
There was no outbreak of “planningitis” in 2008, when personal sector funding sank, nor in 2016 when the Brexit vote snuffed out its restoration.
It could appear unusual to reward France, given the political turmoil in Paris, however on essential metrics it has been outperforming Britain. Since 2008, UK property funding has been rising extra shortly than in France, partly as a result of the inhabitants has been rising extra quickly. However output per hour labored in France has stored tempo with the US since then, whereas Britain has fallen behind. Common French incomes are just like British ones largely as a result of they select to financial institution productiveness features by working fewer hours. And the primary motive for that rising productiveness hole is decrease enterprise funding.
To be truthful, the worldwide monetary disaster blew a much bigger gap within the UK’s financial mannequin. Productiveness in finance fell extra within the Metropolis of London than in Paris, and the hit to the UK’s manufacturing sector was bigger. However the choice to depart the EU has additional broken these two comparatively productive sectors, that are additionally essential sources of export earnings.
But there are hopeful indicators that different sectors are taking their place, and these ought to be on the coronary heart of Labour’s new industrial technique. Regardless of the crash and Brexit, the UK nonetheless has an exporting benefit in skilled providers. And, whereas the US tech sector has streaked forward, progress within the UK’s tech output and exports has been bettering quickly. These industries are much less affected by the commerce limitations that Brexit has imposed, and are much less in danger from Donald Trump’s tariff wars, which is able to largely have an effect on items commerce.
How would possibly the federal government assist these sectors develop much more quickly? The French supply some concepts. Britain’s “‘full expensing” system, which chancellor Rachel Reeves made everlasting in her Finances, largely offers tax advantages to bodily capital resembling equipment and buildings. France offers tax breaks for a broader vary of intangible belongings, together with software program and branding, that are essential to the information economic system.
Enhancements in expertise ranges have been a much bigger driver of French progress over the previous twenty years than in Britain. Whereas the salaries required to get a visa are related, France’s visas for information employees are extra aggressive. The “expertise passport”, a four-year visa for information employees from exterior the EU, prices €225. The UK equal prices £719, and it imposes an “immigration well being surcharge” to be used of the NHS.
All this isn’t to say that newer, shinier buildings wouldn’t assist, in the event that they make cities — the engines of the information economic system — extra productive locations. France’s city areas are denser. And since transport infrastructure is healthier, French folks spend much less time commuting, making the labour markets in cities larger and providing employees extra potential jobs. However housing unfold throughout the nation won’t “spark progress”; for that to occur, Britain wants to assist the industries that Brexit hasn’t hobbled.
