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Downing Avenue has performed down the affect on the British economic system of US tariffs on metal and aluminium, even because the UK’s metal trade warned that President Donald Trump’s proposals could be “devastating”.
A spokesman for Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer refused to say on Monday whether or not Britain would retaliate towards Trump’s transfer to impose 25 per cent tariffs on all metal and aluminium offered into the US.
“We’ve got not seen the exact particulars but, I might not wish to get forward of that,” the spokesman mentioned, including that the US accounted for less than 5 per cent of UK metal exports in 2023 and 6 per cent of aluminium exports.
“It’s necessary to see this within the context of our exports,” he mentioned.
Nonetheless, Downing Avenue’s try to play down the importance of Trump’s tariff menace was not shared by Britain’s metal trade, which warned that the imposition of US tariffs could be a “devastating blow”.
Though UK metal exports have fallen lately amid a wider trade decline, the US is Britain’s second-largest export market after the EU.
The US accounted for about 165,000 tonnes of Britain’s metal exports in 2023 — about 5 per cent of complete exports however 8 per cent by worth and value near £400mn.
“At a time of shrinking demand and excessive prices, rising protectionism globally, significantly within the US, will stifle our exports and harm over £400mn price of the metal sector’s contribution to the UK’s steadiness of commerce,” mentioned Gareth Stace, director-general of commerce physique UK Metal.
In his first time period as US president, Trump imposed a 25 per cent tariff on metal imports and 10 per cent on aluminium, earlier than subsequently granting exemptions to a number of buying and selling companions, together with Canada and Mexico.
The UK exported about 300,000 tonnes of metal to the US in 2017 earlier than Trump imposed tariffs in 2018.
The EU retaliated to the 2018 tariffs by imposing levies on a sequence of US imports, together with bourbon whiskey, Harley-Davidson bikes and motor boats. Britain, which was nonetheless part of the EU single market till 2020, additionally imposed these tariffs.
Beneath a truce brokered by Joe Biden’s administration, the US and the UK agreed a system of tariff fee quotas in 2022.
Starmer and his ministers have up to now tried to keep away from the commerce wrath of Trump by maintaining their heads down, steadfastly refusing to publicly criticise the US president.
Nonetheless ministers have kept in reserve the potential of retaliation within the occasion of tariffs being imposed on the UK, with commerce consultants saying they may mud down the previous listing of EU commerce sanctions.
The Scotch whisky trade would, nevertheless, oppose tariffs being imposed on bourbon, fearing that its personal product might be focused by Trump in a tit-for-tat dispute.
Business consultants mentioned it was not but clear whether or not Trump’s latest bulletins would override the present preparations however warned that they added to common uncertainty at a time when international markets have been flooded with low-cost Chinese language exports.
World extra capability was estimated at 543mn tonnes in 2023 and is forecast to achieve 630mn tonnes by 2026, mentioned UK Metal.
Executives mentioned privately they have been frightened particularly about international metal being diverted to the UK on account of the brand new commerce obstacles.
Alasdair McDiarmid, assistant common secretary on the metal union Group, mentioned a “punitive new tariff on UK metal exports could be vastly damaging and threaten jobs”.
“For the US, it will even be self-defeating, because the UK is a number one provider of specialist metal merchandise required by their defence and aerospace sectors,” he added.
Nadine Bloxsome, chief government of the Aluminium Federation, mentioned information of the tariffs have been “deeply regarding” for aluminium producers.
“At current, the UK exports important volumes of aluminium to the US, and these proposed tariffs wouldn’t solely enhance prices for UK suppliers but in addition disrupt long-standing commerce relationships,” mentioned Bloxsome.
