QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I hope you come to Dubai for a convention subsequent yr. After your Syrian forecast that the civil struggle would finish solely 13 years from the beginning in 2011, these of us listed below are nonetheless in shock and awe, as you say there within the States. I do know your fashions have thought-about the cycles in Syria from Roman occasions. Is 2027 nonetheless the goal within the Center East?
BAF
ANSWER: Syria has a really lengthy historical past. Antioch was the hyperlink to the Silk Highway for all of the dies and spices from Asia. As you may see, it’s sandwiched between Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, and Israel. Traditionally, it has additionally been generally known as the Levant and a strategic chess piece within the world struggle of geopolitics. The Seleucid Empire was a Greek state in West Asia throughout the Hellenistic interval. It was based in 312BC by the Macedonian basic Seleucus I Nikator (312-281BC) when the Macedonian Empire based by Alexander the Nice was divided after his loss of life amongst his generals.
Thus, this grew to become generally known as the Seleucid dynasty till its annexation by the Roman Republic beneath Pompey in 63 BC, who conquered the area, reworking Syria right into a Roman province. This has lent Syria the chance to supply a wealthy database extending centuries for pc evaluation. First, you could acknowledge that legal guidelines are at all times silent throughout struggle and civil unrest. They’re the decorations of civilization and solely apply when there’s civil discord – not struggle and upheaval.
The primary Syrian to grow to be a Roman Emperor was Elagabalus (218-222AD). That is at all times the identical sample of the conquered/slave finally turning into king. Some pointed that out when Obama grew to become President. It is a mere truth of historical past. The king is lifeless – lengthy reside the king. One other truth of historical past is when there’s a civil rebellion, the king might fall, however the victor shortly assumes the identical insurance policies as these he vanquished.
The English Civil Warfare tore down the rule of regulation, and right here you see Oliver Cromwell shortly issued coinage styled because the very king he had beheaded for daring to defend towards him within the civil struggle. He put King Charles on trial, discovered him responsible for shedding the civil struggle, after which beheaded him.
Civil Wars are likely to final 4.3 years (American Civil Warfare), 8.6 years (English Civil Warfare), and even 13 years (Cambodian Civil Warfare, 1967-1975). Nevertheless, transcend that 8.6-year interval, and it’ll lengthen to 13 years.
Numerous occasions when there have been civil wars, you discover the top of state when captured, is usually executed. This appears to be commonplace. When they’re lifeless, they are going to routinely topple their statues as they did all through Jap Europe, toppling the statues of Lenin.
Civil Wars at all times invoke deep hatred, and when leaders are usually not executed, what you discover is usually assassinations of the victor. They assassinated Julius Caesar after he gained the civil struggle. These are cyclical patterns that routinely happen. There was an tried assassination of Zelensky, and he fired his head of safety as a result of it was Ukrainians – not Russians. There was an identical tried assassination of Hitler.
Assad is sensible to flee along with his household to Russia, for they might have all been executed simply because the Russian Revolution executed your complete household of the Czar. Individuals who engaged in civil wars and/or revolutions at all times responded the identical approach, it doesn’t matter what tradition or nation was concerned. The Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi additionally fled Iran in 1978 throughout that revolution. These items might seem like a shock, however they’re commonplace within the playbook of geopolitics.
I’ve beforehand warned that Turkey has the biggest military within the Center East, and Erdogan praised the Hamas assault as a result of he goals of resurrecting the Ottoman Empire and he sees himself because the chief. They’re mortal enemies of Greece and that goes again to the autumn of the Byzantine Empire. Turkey has funded these rebels, and that grew to become doable solely as a result of Israel destroyed Hezbollah. On the one hand, you have got the US cheering Al-Qaeda all as a result of the Neocons have been attempting for years to overthrow all three dictators they created in Syria, Iraq, and Libya. Now, they’ll get the pipeline from Qutar to chop off Russia’s power gross sales to Europe. So that is all about Russia, Russia, Russia. In the meantime, they’re so fixated on conquering Russia that they’ve ignored the true risk within the Center East of the resurrection of the Ottoman Empire.
I’ll replace the prospects for struggle within the Center East and the ability vacuum that’s unfolding that’s hidden behind the headlines. Most individuals don’t know that it was the West that created all of those arab states. They had been by no means impartial nation-states. With World Warfare I, the West lastly took down the Ottoman Empire. This was when the Sykes-Picot Settlement was established as a 1916 secret treaty between the UK and France, with the consent of Russia, Italy, and the USA. They had been carving up the Ottoman Empire, which they mutually agreed to ascertain spheres of affect, thereby partitioning the Ottoman Empire. Syria was created, and the rule of Assad was within the financial pursuits of the West.
I’ve been requested why I don’t write a lot concerning the Israeli struggle and supply an answer. There’s NONE!!!! It is a non secular struggle, and a ceasefire will solely be short-term. Israel’s enemies is just not restricted to Iran. It additionally contains Turkey as we transfer ahead in time.
We’ll publish an replace on the geopolitical way forward for the Center East for the Arab world and Israel. This might be launched in January.
