Israel vows retaliation after Iran’s missile barrage

Immediately’s agenda: Oil costs surge; Vance-Walz debate; Google’s AI lab assistant; how Andrea Orcel did it; and Martin Wolf on the top of low cost cash

Good morning. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to retaliate towards Iran after the Islamic republic fired scores of ballistic missiles at Israel yesterday because the area slid ever nearer in the direction of all-out conflict. Right here’s what we all know.

What occurred: Israel mentioned it intercepted a lot of the estimated 180 missiles, however there have been a “few hits” within the centre and south of the nation. An individual briefed on the state of affairs mentioned Tehran’s meant targets included army and intelligence infrastructure close to Tel Aviv. Iran mentioned 90 per cent of its missiles had hit targets, with state media claiming profitable hits on an air base and civilian airport. Israel’s army mentioned it was not conscious of any casualties from the barrage. The assault got here quickly after two Palestinian shooters killed six people in Tel Aviv’s southern neighbourhood of Jaffa.

Will the US get dragged into a possible conflict? American naval destroyers helped Israel to shoot down Iran’s missiles in yesterday’s assault, and the US has promised to “work with Israel” to make sure “extreme penalties” for Tehran. The US has additionally been deploying extra forces since Israel assassinated Hizbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah and intensified its bombing of Lebanon. It has about 40,000 troops within the area.

The probabilities of the US not backing Israel are small, writes chief overseas affairs columnist Gideon Rachman, who notes that the strike has delivered an “October surprise” which will profit Donald Trump within the US election. Politicians will need to seem totally supportive of Israel and keep away from showing comfortable on Iran.

We’ve got extra perception into this newest escalation and its influence:

• Oil costs surge: Brent crude rose as much as 5 per cent to $75.40 a barrel yesterday as the potential of all-out conflict stoked provide fears.

• Army briefing: Whereas Israel’s Iron Dome intercepted most of Iran’s missiles, there have been crucial differences from Tehran’s earlier assault in April.

• 12 key moments: From exploding pagers and assassinations to missile strikes, Center East editor Andrew England traces the events pushing the area towards full-scale conflict.

Scroll additional to examine how the hostilities will have an effect on the White Home race. And right here’s what else I’m holding tabs on at this time:

• Starmer in Brussels: European officers have warned the UK prime minister not to expect an easy ride as he tries to “reset” Britain’s ties with the EU.

• Plane ‘mega trial’: AIG, Chubb and Lloyd’s of London are amongst insurers dealing with a multibillion-dollar declare in London’s Excessive Court docket from homeowners of planes stuck in Russia.

• Markets: ConAgra Manufacturers, JD Sports activities, and Lamb Weston report outcomes. Israel’s markets are closed to mark Rosh Hashana eve.

5 extra high tales

1. Vice-presidential candidates JD Vance and Tim Walz sparred over US overseas coverage and immigration in a debate yesterday evening, laying out sharply contrasting visions of America’s function on the planet at a pivotal second within the marketing campaign’s remaining stretch. Here’s what they said about the escalating conflict in the Middle East.

2. Unique: Google DeepMind and BioNTech are constructing AI lab assistants to assist researchers plan scientific experiments and higher predict outcomes as firms race to seek out specialised functions for vitality and data-intensive synthetic intelligence fashions. Google’s AI chief mentioned biology was “seeing a revolution” as a result of AI.

3. China’s outbound funding is surging from already-record ranges, authorities knowledge exhibits, as analysts recommend that the nation’s booming clear vitality expertise sector is more and more seeking to arrange manufacturing operations overseas within the face of US and EU tariffs and driving a “tsunami” of green investment.

4. Unique: Metropolis minister Tulip Siddiq is pushing for the UK to start out issuing “digital gilts” on the blockchain amid considerations that Britain must modernise its markets to compete internationally, however the Treasury company accountable for managing the federal government’s debt has resisted the transfer. George Parker and Michael O’Dwyer have more details.

5. Nike has reported a ten per cent drop in quarterly gross sales and withdrawn its full-year forecast, sending shares down as a lot as 7 per cent in after-hours buying and selling yesterday. This come because the world’s largest sportswear maker navigates a tumultuous interval ahead of the arrival of its new chief executive.

Information in-depth

Andrea Orcel shocked Germany final week by elevating UniCredit’s stake in Commerzbank to 21 per cent, mirroring ways from hostile takeover battles of greater than a decade in the past. However a loophole in EU disclosure guidelines has since been closed, making large-scale secret stakebuilding inconceivable. So how did the Italian lender’s chief manage to sidestep these rules?

We’re additionally studying . . . 

• Ozempic and the fitness center: Weight-loss medicine and a brand new concentrate on wellness are pushing many train machines towards obsolescence, writes Brooke Masters.

• Eli Lilly’s rise: The corporate is ready to turn into the primary $1tn drugmaker by market worth, however traders see warning indicators it has reached “peak enthusiasm”.

• Raspberry Pi: Conceived to allow expertise training, the Cambridge-based firm has charmed its manner a UK computer revival, writes John Gapper.

• Modi’s large problem: India faces an economic mismatch: a continual scarcity of jobs matched solely by the shortage of appropriate candidates to fill them.

Chart of the day

Have we seen the top of low cost cash? We’re witnessing the start of an easing cycle in financial coverage, however there are causes to anticipate actual rates of interest to go even higher, writes Martin Wolf.

Take a break from the information

Questioning what to do, purchase and eat this month? From jazz and brandy at Brunswick Home in London to a restaurant with a “deliver your individual truffle” scheme, listed below are 14 brilliant recommendations from HTSI’s writers.

Further contributions from Gordon Smith and Benjamin Wilhelm