Tons of of pagers belonging to the armed group Hezbollah exploded on Tuesday in Lebanon, killing a minimum of 12 people and wounding about 2,750. Some pagers belonging to Hezbollah additionally exploded in Syria, resulting in some accidents.
Lebanon, Hezbollah and the group’s allies have all blamed Israel. However what actually occurred? Many analysts consider the reply may lie in how Hezbollah received the pagers within the first place — as a result of which may maintain clues as to whether the gadgets have been tampered with to facilitate the explosions.
Right here’s what we all know and what consultants consider might need occurred:
About 3:30pm (12:30 GMT), tons of of pagers throughout Lebanon began exploding.
Hezbollah launched a press release on Tuesday saying two of its fighters and a woman have been killed as “pagers belonging to workers of varied Hezbollah items and establishments exploded”.
The Iran-backed group attributed the pager blasts to Israel, which has been concerned in tit-for-tat assaults with Hezbollah throughout the Lebanon-Israel border for the reason that starting of Israel’s battle on Gaza.
Israel’s navy has refused to touch upon the explosions. Hezbollah has promised retaliation towards Israel.
A Lebanese safety supply and one other supply instructed the Reuters information company that the Mossad, Israel’s spy company, planted explosives in 5,000 pagers that Hezbollah had ordered months earlier than the explosions. The sources stated a code was concurrently despatched to three,000 of the pagers, triggering the explosions.
Whereas the precise mechanism used for the pager explosions is unclear in the intervening time, some consultants speculate that the radio system that the pagers depend on was hacked, probably via a doctored code. The batteries of the pagers may have been triggered to overheat, resulting in a course of known as thermal runaway, which in flip brought about the pager batteries to blow up.
Some analysts, together with Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, a former British military officer and chemical weapons professional, have speculated that the pagers might also have been tampered with alongside the availability chain and wired to blow up on command.
However Brussels-based navy and political analyst Elijah Magnier instructed Al Jazeera his sources near the bottom in Lebanon had shared particulars from preliminary investigations carried out by Hezbollah on pagers that didn’t explode.
These investigations counsel that Israel positioned 1 to three grammes (0.04 to 0.11oz) of pentaerythritol tetranitrate (PETN), a robust explosive, in every gadget.
Lebanon faces a variety of sanctions from the USA, European Union and their Western companions. As well as, the US, United Kingdom and their allies, resembling Japan, listing Hezbollah amongst “terrorist” organisations.
That implies that corporations each registered in these domains or buying and selling with these international locations are cautious of direct transactions, particularly in know-how, with Hezbollah — and infrequently with Lebanon in any respect.
On this case, Magnier stated, the pagers procured by Hezbollah have been with a 3rd social gathering and so they sat at a port for 3 months, awaiting clearances, earlier than they have been lastly moved to the Lebanese group.
Hezbollah suspects that it was throughout these three months that Israel managed to plant explosives within the gadgets, the navy analyst stated.
The rechargeable pagers have been confiscated and held for a while earlier than being launched and shipped to #Lebanon. There, #Israel tempered the pagers and positioned the 1-3 gram explosive gadget in every pager.
— Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 (@ejmalrai) September 17, 2024
He added that Hezbollah’s investigation thus far exhibits that steel balls have been positioned across the pager batteries, permitting the explosive pressure to propel steel fragments outward, “considerably rising the lethality of the blast”. He added that this was additionally completed through the three months when the cargo was on maintain.
However the place have been the pagers made — and when?
Taiwan or Hungary?
The trademark of Taiwan pager producer Gold Apollo has been recognized on the stays of the exploded pagers, which seem to belong to the corporate’s AR-924 mannequin.
On Wednesday, the corporate launched a press release denying that it had manufactured Hezbollah’s pagers and saying it was solely its emblem that was on the gadgets.
As an alternative, the pagers had been constructed by a Hungarian firm known as BAC via a licensing deal, the Taiwan agency stated.
“The design and manufacturing of the merchandise are completely dealt with by BAC,” Gold Apollo stated in a press release. “We solely present model trademark authorisation and haven’t any involvement within the design manufacturing of this product.” BAC has not commented thus far.
The proof thus far means that Hezbollah acquired the pagers round February when the group’s chief, Hassan Nasrallah, ordered members to cease utilizing cellphones as a result of they could possibly be simply intercepted and monitored by Israeli intelligence.
What will we learn about BAC?
BAC Consulting is predicated in Hungary’s capital, Budapest.
Reuters reported that the acknowledged handle for BAC is a peach-coloured constructing in a residential space. Whereas the corporate’s identify is posted there on an A4 sheet of paper, an nameless supply current on the constructing instructed the information company the corporate doesn’t have a bodily presence on the constructing regardless of being registered there.
Based on LinkedIn, BAC’s CEO is Cristiana Barsony-Arcidiacono, whose profile says she has labored for numerous organisations, together with UNESCO.
Her profile says: “We provide in-depth consulting guiding our shopper’s journey towards innovation, sustainability, and fairness whereas making certain connection, and authenticity. Our foremost companies are enterprise growth, administration consultancy, technique and partnership planning.”
Al Jazeera reached out to BAC however didn’t obtain a response.
