Good morning. As Russia’s battle towards Ukraine enters its 1,000th day, G20 powers signalled weakening support for Kyiv in a joint assertion issued in a single day that was stripped of criticisms of Moscow agreed by the identical international locations a 12 months in the past.
At this time, I report from Rio de Janeiro on the conspicuous absence of progress on the EU’s much-vaunted Mercosur commerce deal, and our Rome bureau chief has a dispatch on Giorgia Meloni’s battle on surrogacy going worldwide.
Commerce present
You might need thought {that a} assembly of essentially the most highly effective leaders of the EU and South America, in Brazil, can be an amazing second to make progress on a long-stalled commerce deal between the 2 continents. You’d have been mistaken.
Context: The EU has been negotiating a trade deal with the Mercosur group of Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia for greater than twenty years. An settlement would unite a market of 780mn individuals and save companies in Europe greater than €4bn yearly in tariffs.
Donald Trump’s election as US president and his threats to impose sweeping tariffs on imports has given the EU recent impetus to seal new commerce offers. However on the G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro — that includes the leaders of France, Germany, Italy and Spain, the EU presidents and all Mercosur members — it barely registered.
European Fee president Ursula von der Leyen raised it throughout her bilateral assembly with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on Sunday, but it surely was not a subject throughout the varied bilateral conferences and casual chats yesterday, officers briefed on the talks mentioned.
It doesn’t assist that EU home politics has delayed the formal swearing-in of von der Leyen for a second time period as fee president, and the set up of her new commerce commissioner. Officers yesterday mentioned that was the precedence, and that important progress on the deal would most likely solely be seen in December.
EU negotiators met their Latin American counterparts in Brasília in September, urged on by 11 European capitals to strike a deal that might be put to the bloc’s member states for a vote of approval. Technical discussions have been ongoing, officers mentioned.
Proponents say that the deal will permit the EU to compete with main Chinese language funding, restate the bloc‘s free-trade and multilateral ideas within the face of Trump’s arrival, and ship a message to the incoming president.
That mentioned, the failure to make use of the Rio summit to make progress on the deal fits French President Emmanuel Macron, its biggest critic. He believes it would trigger environmental harm and topic farmers to unfair competitors.
But when a deal is struck with Mercosur after which put to a vote of EU capitals, a majority can outvote Macron. No shock, then, that his international minister Jean-Noël Barrot vented yesterday that the settlement was “unacceptable because it stands, for democratic causes”.
Chart du jour: Fireplace at will
US President Joe Biden’s authorisation for Ukraine to launch restricted strikes into Russia’s Kursk area utilizing US-made Atacms long-range missiles has upped the pressure on European allies to comply with go well with.
Extraterritorial
Surrogacy is now thought-about a “common crime” in Italy, leaving dozens of {couples} present process the method overseas in anxious limbo, writes Amy Kazmin.
Context: Surrogacy has been unlawful in Italy since 2004, punishable by as much as two years in jail and fines of as much as €600,000. However Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s right-wing authorities is decided to cease Italians from having youngsters by way of surrogacy even in international jurisdictions the place the follow is authorized.
Under the harsh new law that got here into power yesterday, Italians whose infants are carried by a surrogate wherever on the earth might withstand two years in jail, and fines of as much as €1mn.
However the struggle over the problem isn’t over but.
Attorneys from the Luca Coscioni Affiliation, an organisation that works on human rights points in medical care and scientific analysis, have vowed to problem the regulation.
“We’re able to defend all {couples} broken by this unjust and unreasonable regulation,” the affiliation mentioned, vowing to battle in courts to “reestablish a possibility provided by science”.
The affiliation says it has obtained pleas for assist from round 50 {couples} at varied phases of the surrogacy course of, from preliminary paperwork to gathering reproductive cells or truly awaiting the births.
Amongst them are same-sex {couples} in search of to have youngsters and heterosexual {couples} the place, for example, the lady can’t carry a baby resulting from critical sickness.
Meloni, who believes solely heterosexual {couples} ought to have youngsters, has previously targeted LGBT+ families. Her authorities argues the surrogacy regulation cracks down on “procreation tourism” and protects ladies from exploitation.
Whereas the brand new guidelines don’t apply retroactively, the destiny of households now going by the surrogacy course of stays ambiguous.
What to observe at this time
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EU defence ministers meet.
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EU ministers for normal affairs meet.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addresses European parliament, at 11am.
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