The great thing about this stage of the match is that we will relaxation assured of 1 factor: Each recreation left goes to be thrilling to look at. That, in fact, could make it more durable to determine how you can wager, however that’s the place our “Finest Bets” record can turn out to be useful.
I’ve executed a deep dive into each of Sunday’s Elite Eight video games and compiled a listing of what I contemplate the very best bets of the day.
Houston (-3) vs. Tennessee +135
UNDER 123.5 factors at -110
This is likely to be the best determination of the match.
Right here you could have a Houston defense that ranks No. 1 in the country (58.5 factors per recreation allowed) and Tennessee’s No. 8-ranked protection (62.8 factors per recreation allowed). Neither offense is unhealthy—or distinctive. At finest, they are often described as adequate and complementary to polished defenses.
However mediocre offense may be managed by dominant protection. That would be the case in what might find yourself being the lowest-scoring recreation of the match.
L.J. Cryer, UNDER 2.5 Threes Made at -107
He’s Houston’s main scorer, and he’s made 11 threes in match video games (averaging 3.7 per recreation). After hitting simply considered one of 5 makes an attempt in opposition to Purdue, it will be simple to say he’s due. However the Vols play nice perimeter protection, and I anticipate they’ll attempt their finest to maintain Cryer in test.
Felix Okpara UNDER 6.5 Rebounds at -164
Igor Milicic Jr., UNDER 4.5 Rebounds at -133
Identical-game parlay odds: +197
Okpara is coming off an 11-rebound game vs. Kentucky and had seven vs. UCLA. Milicic has been unreliable on the boards in match play, recording three, seven and 4. I wouldn’t say Houston essentially has a standout rebounder, however J’Wan Roberts and Joseph Turner each common round six.
I’m banking on Houston being strong on the offensive boards and preserving the Vols restricted.
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Michigan State (+178) vs. Auburn (-4.5)
Auburn -4.5
I anticipate this recreation to have a number of similarities to Auburn-Michigan. The Tigers had been 9.5-point favorites, however the Wolverines seemed extra able to play within the first half than Auburn. However the Tigers had been the higher group and proved as a lot with a 48-36 second half.
It’s not arduous to see this recreation as a possible upset decide with how effectively the Spartans have been taking part in. However Auburn is the better of the two teams right here. That might not be obvious within the first half, however will probably be within the second.
Denver Jones, OVER 1.5 Threes Made at -158
Johni Broome, OVER 11.5 Rebounds at -110
Identical-game parlay odds: +217
At first, I wished to go along with the underneath for Jones’ made 3-pointers as a result of Michigan State’s perimeter protection is strong. However Jones isn’t considered one of Auburn’s major scoring threats (he was fifth on the group in scoring through the common season; he did have 20 vs. Michigan).
However because the Spartans can be extra targeted on Broome, Baker-Mazara and Pettiford, I can see him getting just a few actually attractiveness and hitting two from deep.
As for Broome’s rebound numbers, he averaged 10.8 per recreation through the season and has had 11, 12 and 16 in match play. Statistically, Michigan State is the higher rebounding group, however I don’t assume the most effective gamers within the recreation can be denied.
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